TX-Sen: Rasmussen Poll Gives Advantage Back to Cornyn

Rasmussen (6/2, likely voters, 5/1 in parens):

Rick Noriega (D): 35 (43)

John Cornyn (R-inc): 52 (47)

(MoE: ±4)

The last time Rasmussen polled this race, I wondered if their numbers were simply too good to be true. That might have been the case.

Absolutely nothing has changed in Texas to justify such a dramatic swing. The truth is probably that one of these polls is bunk, and I’m guessing that it’s the old poll. These new numbers are much more in line with the most recent poll we’ve seen of Texas from Baselice that showed Cornyn holding a 49-33 lead.

These jumpy trend lines have single-handedly made me skeptical about Rasmussen again.